Who should win, and who will win, at this year’s Grammys – The Boston Globe
The last few years have seen the fruits of those labors, and the 67th annual Grammy Awards, which take place on Sunday, are continuing that trend. Highlighting artists like Beyoncé (who leads the field with 11 nominations), Taylor Swift, Post Malone, Billie Eilish, and Kendrick Lamar while also giving props to breakout acts like Chappell Roan and Doechii, this year’s awards provide a healthy (if not entirely complete) snapshot of how popular music shook out during this year’s nomination period, which ran from Sept. 16, 2023, through Aug. 30, 2024.
Read on for a look at all six of the general field’s races as well as select fields from this year’s 94-category field. The Grammys’ heft means that only select awards will be given out on the main telecast, which begins at 8 p.m. on CBS and Paramount+, and which will feature performances by Roan, Eilish, Doechii, and others. Completists can see all the trophies get doled out by tuning into the Grammy Awards Premiere Ceremony, which begins streaming on the Recording Academy’s YouTube channel and on Grammy.com at 3:30 p.m.
RECORD OF THE YEAR (given to artist, producers, and engineers)
Should win: Most of this category’s nominees, honestly. Kendrick Lamar’s acid-tongued party jam “Not Like Us” paired memorable, precisely delivered sobriquets with a beat that commanded movement; Billie Eilish’s lovesick “Birds of a Feather” combined glassy keyboards with a career-best vocal performance. Chappell Roan’s seething “Good Luck, Babe!” was the coming-out party of a star, its catharsis draped in synths and jewels.
Will win: Ah, but then there are the Beatles. Their final — for now, anyway — single “Now and Then,” a John Lennon demo fleshed out and made whole by old and new recordings and a bit of machine-assisted learning helmed by Peter Jackson, is the lone veteran in the field. Why vote for pop’s present when you can vote for its past and future in one fell swoop?
Also nominated: Beyoncé, “Texas Hold ‘Em”; Sabrina Carpenter, “Espresso”; Charli XCX, “360”; Taylor Swift feat. Post Malone, “Fortnight”
ALBUM OF THE YEAR
Should win: Beyoncé’s “Cowboy Carter” continued her schooling of pop audiences, elegantly and hookily guiding listeners through country’s origins in Black music while spotlighting newer Black country artists like Shaboozey (more on him in a moment) and Tanner Adell. Honorable mention should go to Roan, whose “The Rise and Fall of a Midwest Princess” — released just as the eligibility year began in September 2023 — was both a rebuke of the label that fumbled her earlier this decade and a killer collection of energetic, euphoric anthems.
Will win: Eilish’s sharply rendered, artistically open “Hit Me Hard and Soft,” making her 2-for-3 on AOTY wins.
Also nominated: Andre 3000, “New Blue Sun”; Sabrina Carpenter, “Short n’ Sweet”; Charli XCX, “Brat”; Jacob Collier, “Djesse Vol. 4”; Taylor Swift, “The Tortured Poets Department”
SONG OF THE YEAR (given to songwriters)
Should win: “A Bar Song (Tipsy),” the breakout single by the Beyoncé-approved Virginia singer-songwriter Shaboozey, defined the sound of pop’s 2024, blending sing-along-ready honky-tonking with throwback hip-hop (the hook is borrowed from the 2004 J-Kwon track “Tipsy”). Its blend of genres and Shaboozey’s amiable delivery would seem to make it more suited for a Record of the Year nod, but the Grammys still work in their own ways.
Will win: “Birds of a Feather,” another sterling effort from the bedroom-pop team of Eilish and her brother FINNEAS.
Also nominated: “Die With a Smile” (Bruno Mars and Lady Gaga); “Fortnight” (Taylor Swift feat. Post Malone); “Good Luck, Babe!” (Chappell Roan); “Not Like Us” (Kendrick Lamar); “Please Please Please” (Sabrina Carpenter); “Texas Hold ‘Em” (Beyoncé)
BEST NEW ARTIST
Should win: Roan had a Cinderella year topped off by memorable live performances at festivals and awards shows. But I also have a soft spot for the Florida rapper Doechii, whose mixtape “Alligator Bites Never Heal” documents a talented MC fully immersing herself in a wild, twist-filled universe.
Will win: Atlanta singer Teddy Swims, whose gravelly voice and aw-shucks charm helped propel his throwback single “Lose Control” to the top spot of 2024’s year-end Hot 100.
Also nominated: Benson Boone; Sabrina Carpenter; Khruangbin; Raye; Shaboozey
PRODUCER OF THE YEAR, NON-CLASSICAL
Should win: Mustard, who turned Lamar’s laundry list of issues with Drake into the song of the summer.
Will win: Dan Nigro, whose records with Roan and Gen Z ’90s revivalist Olivia Rodrigo amplified the sound of young America in thrilling fashion.
Should win: Édgar Barrera, who’s been at the forefront of Latin pop’s push into US pop’s mainstream through his work with the likes of Shakira, Karol G, and Grupo Frontera.
Will win: Amy Allen, who helped Sabrina Carpenter craft some of the year’s gooiest, most caffeinated hits.
Should and will win: Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars’s “Die With a Smile” shows off Gaga’s ability to absolutely nail power ballads and Mars’s chameleonic nature. It’s a big swing that resulted in a home run.
Also nominated: Beyoncé feat. Post Malone, “Levii’s Jeans”; Charli XCX and Billie Eilish, “Guess”; Ariana Grande, Brandy, and Monica, “The Boy Is Mine”; Gracie Abrams feat. Taylor Swift, “Us”
BEST ROCK ALBUM
Should win: This category is a bit of a toss-up, with newer acts like Idles and Fontaines DC facing off against old hands like Pearl Jam and the Rolling Stones. If I had a ballot, I’d probably vote for the Black Crowes’ “Happiness Bastards,” a rip-roaring comeback album from the Robinson brothers that adds a bit of world-weariness to their snarling blues-rock.
Will win: Similarly, Jack White’s “No Name” finds the Detroit punker turned elder statesman returning to his early career’s hooks-and-riffs basics with gusto.
Also nominated: Fontaines DC, “Romance”; Green Day, “Saviors”; Idles, “Tangk”; Pearl Jam, “Dark Matter”; the Rolling Stones, “Hackney Diamonds”
BEST ALTERNATIVE MUSIC PERFORMANCE
Should win: College-rock patron saint Kim Gordon’s “Bye Bye” blends noise rock and trap, updating the idea of her former band Sonic Youth’s 1990 manifesto “Kool Thing” in a surrealistic fashion appropriate for the chaotic mid-’20s.
Will win: Art-popper St. Vincent, a perpetual favorite in the increasingly nebulous “alternative” categories.
Also nominated: Cage the Elephant, “Neon Pill”; Nick Cave and the Bad Seeds, “Song of the Lake”; Fontaines DC, “Starburster”
BEST R&B SONG (given to songwriters)
Should and will win: SZA’s “Saturn,” which debuted during last year’s telecast, finds the singer-songwriter immersing herself in psychedelia in hopes of escaping her head’s crueler thoughts.
Also nominated: “After Hours” (Kehlani); “Burning” (Tems); “Here We Go (Uh Oh)” (Coco Jones); “Ruined Me” (Muni Long)
BEST RAP ALBUM
Should win: Doechii’s “Alligator Bites Never Heal,” which showcases her gloriously idiosyncratic rhymes and dexterous flow.
Will win: Future and Metro Boomin’s “We Don’t Trust You” was a crossover triumph for the emotional MC and the hit-making St. Louis producer that featured a slew of heavy hitters including Lamar, The Weeknd, and Rick Ross. But Eminem’s high-concept “The Death of Slim Shady (Coup de Grâce),” on which the fast-talking Detroiter channels and casts off his past, could also nab the trophy — Eminem is 6-for-7 in this category so far, making him its most-awarded MC.
Also nominated: J. Cole, “Might Delete Later”; Common & Pete Rock, “The Auditorium, Vol. 1”
BEST ALTERNATIVE JAZZ ALBUM
Should and will win: Enigmatic hip-hop heavyweight André 3000’s surprising, New Age-y “New Blue Sun” also being nominated for Album of the Year tips this category’s hand a bit.
Also nominated: Arooj Aftab, “Night Reign”; Robert Glasper, “Code Derivation”; Keyon Harrold, “Foreverland”; Meshell Ndgeocello, “No More Water: The Gospel of James Baldwin”
BEST COUNTRY SOLO PERFORMANCE
Should win: Kacey Musgraves’s thoughtful “The Architect” was a high point of the expectation-defying singer-songwriter’s luminous, clear-eyed “Deeper Well.”
Will win: Shaboozey’s “A Bar Song (Tipsy),” which combined working-man woes with after-hours revelry.
Also nominated: Beyoncé, “16 Carriages”; Jelly Roll, “I Am Not Okay”; Chris Stapleton, “It Takes a Woman”
Will win: Lainey Wilson’s “Whirlwind,” a top-notch collection from one of Nashville’s brightest stars that’s studded with gems like the arena-size, yet diaristic lament “Bar in Baton Rouge.”
Should win: Kali Uchis’s “Orquideas” finds the exploration-minded romantic crafting her own take on Latin pop’s canon alongside stars like reggaeton supernova Karol G and música Mexicana troubadour Peso Pluma.
Will win: “Las Mujeres Ya No Lloran,” the first album in seven years from Colombian superstar Shakira, is similarly adventurous and guest-star-studded, with a high-profile breakup as its backdrop.
Also nominated: Anitta, “Funk Generation”; Luis Fonsi, “El Viaje”; Kany García, “García”
BEST MUSIC FILM
Should and will win: The all-star charity cut “We Are the World” turns 40 in March, and it remains one of pop’s biggest charity singles to this day. But the crackling documentary “The Greatest Night in Pop,” which chronicles its genesis, is so well-crafted that it manages to keep viewers in suspense about whether or not Quincy Jones, Stevie Wonder, Lionel Richie, and Michael Jackson — not to mention the limo-loads of the early MTV era’s hugest names — will be able to pull it off until its end.
Also nominated: “American Symphony”; “June”; “Kings from Queens”; “Stevie Van Zandt: Disciple”